User:Hazasoul/Mystic Clover forging
From Guild Wars 2 Wiki
Jump to navigationJump to search
|
Note: The probabilities are based on the [project by ShinyMeta et al.], which provides a [Google Sheet] with numbers. |
Simplifications from the data[edit]
- The chances are rounded.
- Identical chances for single forge and x10 forge.
- Identical chances for each item in a group.
- Identical chances for each value in ranges, and only the average is used.
- For each of these simplifications, an estimated chance is chosen inbetween the values for the single and x10 forges.
Numbers[edit]
Input[edit]
| Item | Quantity | Value / Note |
|---|---|---|
 Mystic Coin |
1 | 2  (todo: get prices from tp api and calculate dynamically)
|
 Obsidian Shard |
1 | Non-gold value |
 Glob of Ectoplasm |
1 | 17  (todo: get prices from tp api and calculate dynamically)
|
 Spirit Shard |
0.6 | For 6  or 1 
|
Output[edit]
(todo: get prices from tp api and calculate dynamically)
| Item | Chance | Quantity | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mystic Clover |
31.1% | 1 | |
 Hidden Treasure |
0.84% | 1 | |
| Mystic Coin |
1% | 5 | |
| Obsidian Shard |
1.1% | 2 | Non-gold value |
| Glob of Ectoplasm |
1% | 2 | |
 Mystic Crystal |
0.8% | 2 | Non-gold value of 0.6 
|
| "Missing" | 0.16% | Due to rounding | |
| Lodestones (4%) | |||
 Crystal Lodestone |
1% | 1 | |
 Corrupted Lodestone |
1% | 1 | |
 Destroyer Lodestone |
1% | 1 | |
 Pile of Putrid Essence |
1% | 1 | |
| Fine materials (40%) | |||
 Ancient Bone |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Armored Scale |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Elaborate Totem |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Pile of Crystalline Dust |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Powerful Venom Sac |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Vial of Powerful Blood |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Vicious Claw |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
 Vicious Fang |
5% | 3 | Range of 2-4 |
| Refined basic materials (20%) | |||
 Ancient Wood Plank |
5% | 2 | Range of 1-3 |
 Bolt of Gossamer |
5% | 2 | Range of 1-3 |
 Cured Hardened Leather Square |
5% | 2 | Range of 1-3 |
 Orichalcum Ingot |
5% | 2 | Range of 1-3 |
Calculations[edit]
An average of 3.22 forges have to be done per mystic clover.
Gold[edit]
Input per forge: (tmp ~ 2 17 ) (todo: get prices from tp api and calculate dynamically)
Output per forge: (tmp ~ 35 34 
) (todo: get prices from tp api and calculate dynamically)
Result per forge: -1 81 66
Result per clover: -5 84 12
Obsidian Shards[edit]
Fill this out yourself if you care about karma lol
Spirit Shards[edit]
Input per forge: 0.6
Output per forge: 0.0096
Result per forge: -0.5904
Result per clover: -1.898
(alt calc) Each mystic clover requires an input of about 1.929 spirit shards.
(alt calc) Spirit shard result is about -1.898.
Weekly discounted trades[edit]
- Costs about 0.102 more spirit shards than forging
- Saves about 1 50 12
- They are still worth it, unless spirit shards were to have a perceived value of at least 14 77 41
